The UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned of an 80% chance of El Niño developing between June and August 2026, rising to 90% by November. The agency cautioned that the event could be moderate to strong, driven by unusually warm Pacific waters, and may trigger record global heat, droughts, floods, and extreme rainfall.
According to the WMO, El Niño often disrupts weather patterns worldwide. Heavy rains are expected in South America, the Horn of Africa, and Central Asia, while drought conditions could hit Australia, Indonesia, Central America, and South Asia. India’s southwest monsoon is particularly at risk, raising concerns for agriculture and water security.
The agency noted that El Niño events exacerbate heatwaves, food insecurity, and health risks. The 2023–24 El Niño contributed to 2024 being the hottest year ever recorded. Authorities worldwide have been urged to strengthen early warning systems and prepare for possible humanitarian and economic impacts.
Experts warn that extreme heat, crop failures, and water shortages could intensify, while energy demand and food prices may rise. The WMO stressed that proactive measures are essential to mitigate the risks posed by the looming climate event.
